Sassuolo vs Milan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sassuolo v Milan — Team-Based Signals
Sassuolo vs Milan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Sassuolo
İTA
2-5
HT 1-3
Sassuolo
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Milan
İTA
0-3
HT 0-3
Milan
İTA
1-3
HT 1-2
Sassuolo
İTA
1-2
HT 1-0
Sassuolo
İTA
Sassuolo 3-3 Milan — Actual Match Statistics
Sassuolo and Milan couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Milan at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Sassuolo had 32% of the ball to Milan's 68%, shots finished 10-23, expected goals 1.19 to 2.84.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sassuolo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sassuolo and 1.33 for Milan.
What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Milan?
Sassuolo 3-3 Milan in the Italy - Serie A on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sassuolo vs Milan?
Before kick-off our model rated an Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo 27%, draw 24%, Milan 50%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Milan) went the other way.