KRC Genk II 2-0 RFC Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
2.07
Over
42%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.57
No
44%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.8
2-3
43%
1.81
4-5
18%
3.03
6+
8%
9.77
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.8 — our 31% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME KRC Genk II The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Liege The Market 45%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.55 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.66
1.79 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.48
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Bad Defensevs comparable teams Weak
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
14.5 Crosses 20.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KRC Genk II
1W-0D-3L
AWAY RFC Liege
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.92 xG 2.44
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
364 Passes 306
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2025 RFC Liege RFC Liege 5-0 HT 2-0 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
13.04.2025 RFC Liege RFC Liege 3-1 HT 2-0 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
25.08.2024 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 4-1 HT 0-1 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
03.11.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 2-3 HT 0-2 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KRC Genk II
2-0
AWAY RFC Liege
1.67 xG 0.81
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 7
557 Passes 234
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW KRC Genk II vs RFC Liege
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

KRC Genk II got the better of RFC Liege 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and on the day KRC Genk II made the difference. The goals card split: under 2.5 goals (58%) came in, both teams to score (56%) didn't.

On the day, KRC Genk II had 66% of the ball to RFC Liege's 34%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.67 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, RFC Liege led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for KRC Genk II and 3.00 for RFC Liege.

KRC Genk II vs RFC Liege Result & Final Score

KRC Genk II 2-0 RFC Liege in the Belgium - 1st Division on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

KRC Genk II vs RFC Liege Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an RFC Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split KRC Genk II 32%, draw 30%, RFC Liege 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (RFC Liege), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RFC Liege) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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