Orlando Pirates 3-0 Marumo Gallants — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.33
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
9%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.53
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.87
6+ Goals
10%
17.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 30% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
2%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
70%
-0.3pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.4pp
8%
Away Win
11%
-2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.1pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
1.90/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.45
+3% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -9%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
405 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 72%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
15.3 Crosses 12.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando Pirates
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Marumo Gallants
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.00 xG 0.85
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
404 Passes 211
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2025 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-0 HT 0-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFLK
12.08.2025 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 2-1 HT 1-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
13.04.2025 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-0 HT 1-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFK
01.03.2025 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 2-0 HT 1-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
24.12.2024 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 8-1 HT 1-1 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
28.01.2023 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-2 HT 0-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando Pirates
3-0
AWAY Marumo Gallants
1.84 xG 0.35
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
443 Passes 286
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
40 Box Touches 4
11 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Orlando Pirates vs Marumo Gallants
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates swept aside Marumo Gallants 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Orlando Pirates had 59% of the ball to Marumo Gallants's 41%, shots finished 23-4, expected goals 1.84 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Orlando Pirates and 0.83 for Marumo Gallants.

What was the final score of Orlando Pirates vs Marumo Gallants?

Orlando Pirates 3-0 Marumo Gallants in the South Afrika - Premier League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando Pirates vs Marumo Gallants?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Orlando Pirates 70%, draw 21%, Marumo Gallants 8%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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