Ards FC 2-3 Harland & Wolff Welders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.53
No
37%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.8
2-3 Goals
50%
1.92
4-5 Goals
19%
2.67
6+ Goals
8%
6.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
13%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+1.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-6.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.1pp
63%
BTTS Yes
61%
+2.0pp
37%
BTTS No
39%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders EU Bookmakers 57%
+8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.38/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.03
+12% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
15.11.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 1-4 HT 0-2 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
06.09.2025 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 1-2 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
05.04.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 2-5 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
15.03.2025 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 0-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
30.11.2024 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 4-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
21.09.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 3-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Harland & Wolff Welders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harland & Wolff Welders squeezed past Ards FC 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Harland & Wolff Welders as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ards FC and 2.50 for Harland & Wolff Welders.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Harland & Wolff Welders?

Ards FC 2-3 Harland & Wolff Welders in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Harland & Wolff Welders?

Before kick-off our model rated an Harland & Wolff Welders win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 25%, draw 28%, Harland & Wolff Welders 47%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL1 More North Ireland - 1st Division
14 Feb 2026
18:00 Loughgall FC vs Queens University Analysis →
18:00 Dundela vs Ballinamallard United Analysis →
18:00 Newington Youth vs Warrenpoint Town Analysis →
18:00 Annagh United vs Armagh City Analysis →
18:00 Institute FC vs Limavady United Analysis →