Dundela 1-4 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.07
Over 2.5
42%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.83
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.0
6+ Goals
10%
9.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 26% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundela EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -16%
1.53/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.40
-2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundela
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
08.11.2025 Dundela Dundela 2-2 HT 1-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
20.09.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-1 HT 1-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
08.02.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 3-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
30.11.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-2 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
31.08.2024 Dundela Dundela 3-3 HT 0-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
11.11.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
POST-MATCH Dundela vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United ran out comfortable winners over Dundela 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Ballinamallard United made the difference. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ballinamallard United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dundela and 1.83 for Ballinamallard United.

What was the final score of Dundela vs Ballinamallard United?

Dundela 1-4 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundela vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dundela 32%, draw 30%, Ballinamallard United 38%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballinamallard United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ballinamallard United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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