Institute FC 1-2 Limavady United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
54%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 35% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
29%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
21%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
54%
Away Win
55%
-0.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Limavady United EU Bookmakers 59%
+19% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.33/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.88
+29% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
291 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Limavady United
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
26.12.2025 Limavady United Limavady United 1-0 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
30.08.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Limavady United Limavady United KİRL1
08.02.2025 Limavady United Limavady United 2-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
26.12.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 1-1 Limavady United Limavady United KİRL1
27.08.2024 Limavady United Limavady United 2-1 HT 2-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Limavady United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Limavady United edged past Institute FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Limavady United as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Limavady United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Institute FC and 1.60 for Limavady United.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Limavady United?

Institute FC 1-2 Limavady United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Limavady United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Limavady United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 21%, draw 25%, Limavady United 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Limavady United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Limavady United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL1 More North Ireland - 1st Division
14 Feb 2026
18:00 Loughgall FC vs Queens University Analysis →
18:00 Dundela vs Ballinamallard United Analysis →
18:00 Newington Youth vs Warrenpoint Town Analysis →
18:00 Ards FC vs Harland & Wolff Welders Analysis →
18:00 Annagh United vs Armagh City Analysis →