Newington Youth 4-0 Warrenpoint Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.82
6+ Goals
13%
8.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+7.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Warrenpoint Town EU Bookmakers 34%
+18% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.46/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.51
+37% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newington Youth
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Warrenpoint Town
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.09.2025 Newington Youth Newington Youth 3-0 HT 1-0 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
28.01.2023 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
11.01.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-4 HT 0-2 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
03.12.2022 Newington Youth Newington Youth 0-1 HT 0-1 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
13.09.2022 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 1-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KILK
POST-MATCH Newington Youth vs Warrenpoint Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newington Youth cruised past Warrenpoint Town 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Newington Youth found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Warrenpoint Town led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Newington Youth and 1.60 for Warrenpoint Town.

What was the final score of Newington Youth vs Warrenpoint Town?

Newington Youth 4-0 Warrenpoint Town in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newington Youth vs Warrenpoint Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newington Youth win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Newington Youth 38%, draw 24%, Warrenpoint Town 38%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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