Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0 ADT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.7pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY ADT EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.09/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.27
+20% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
19.6 Crosses 18.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
2W-3D-1L
AWAY ADT
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.80 xG 1.16
42% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
181 Passes 288
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0 HT 0-0 ADT ADT PER
28.06.2025 ADT ADT 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
13.09.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0 HT 1-0 ADT ADT PER
07.04.2024 ADT ADT 2-2 HT 0-2 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
06.03.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 0-0 HT 0-0 ADT ADT CON CSA
15.07.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 1-2 HT 0-0 ADT ADT PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
1-0
AWAY ADT
0.75 xG 0.36
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
377 Passes 325
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 10
10 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Garcilaso vs ADT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Garcilaso squeezed past ADT 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Garcilaso as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Garcilaso had 52% of the ball to ADT's 48%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.75 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Garcilaso had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Garcilaso and 0.67 for ADT.

What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs ADT?

Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0 ADT in the Peru - Premier League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Garcilaso vs ADT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Garcilaso win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Garcilaso 51%, draw 26%, ADT 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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