Universitario 2-1 Cienciano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.33
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
14%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
70%
-3.2pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.3pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.7pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Cienciano EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.94/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.56
+15% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
24.3 Crosses 15.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Cienciano
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.21 xG 0.51
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
241 Passes 308
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2025 Cienciano Cienciano 1-1 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
16.02.2025 Universitario Universitario 3-2 HT 1-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
28.10.2024 Universitario Universitario 3-1 HT 3-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
21.05.2024 Cienciano Cienciano 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
23.06.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 1-1 HT 0-1 Universitario Universitario PER
25.03.2023 Universitario Universitario 3-0 HT 2-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario
2-1
AWAY Cienciano
2.27 xG 1.48
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
418 Passes 196
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Universitario vs Cienciano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario edged past Cienciano 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Universitario had 63% of the ball to Cienciano's 37%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.27 to 1.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Universitario and 0.83 for Cienciano.

What was the final score of Universitario vs Cienciano?

Universitario 2-1 Cienciano in the Peru - Premier League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario vs Cienciano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Universitario 67%, draw 19%, Cienciano 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitario) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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