Universitario 3-2 Cienciano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.29
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-12.2pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.3pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+7.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Cienciano EU Bookmakers 11%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.73/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.64
+9% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 195 · 69%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
23.1 Crosses 12.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cienciano
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.60 xG 0.46
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
244 Passes 313
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2024 Universitario Universitario 3-1 HT 3-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
21.05.2024 Cienciano Cienciano 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
23.06.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 1-1 HT 0-1 Universitario Universitario PER
25.03.2023 Universitario Universitario 3-0 HT 2-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
10.03.2023 Universitario Universitario 2-0 HT 1-0 Cienciano Cienciano CON CSA
07.08.2022 Cienciano Cienciano 1-0 HT 1-0 Universitario Universitario PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario
3-2
AWAY Cienciano
1.45 xG 0.76
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
366 Passes 199
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Universitario vs Cienciano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario edged past Cienciano 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Universitario had 61% of the ball to Cienciano's 39%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.45 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Universitario and 0.50 for Cienciano.

What was the final score of Universitario vs Cienciano?

Universitario 3-2 Cienciano in the Peru - Premier League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario vs Cienciano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Universitario 61%, draw 22%, Cienciano 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitario) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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