Sporting Cristal 2-1 Sport Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
67%
-8.0pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.5pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+2.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.92/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.68
+28% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.2
22.9 Crosses 12.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Cristal
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sport Boys
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.92 xG 0.99
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 Passes 235
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.07.2024 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-0 HT 1-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
05.02.2024 Sport Boys Sport Boys 1-3 HT 0-3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
10.09.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
15.04.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 1-1 HT 0-1 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
15.10.2022 Sport Boys Sport Boys 3-5 HT 2-2 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
05.06.2022 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 3-0 HT 2-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Cristal
2-1
AWAY Sport Boys
4.14 xG 1.31
53% Ball Possession 47%
27 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
217 Passes 200
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
43 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Sporting Cristal vs Sport Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Cristal nicked a narrow win over Sport Boys 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Cristal had 53% of the ball to Sport Boys's 47%, shots finished 27-12, expected goals 4.14 to 1.31 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sporting Cristal's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Sporting Cristal and 1.00 for Sport Boys.

What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Sport Boys?

Sporting Cristal 2-1 Sport Boys in the Peru - Premier League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs Sport Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 59%, draw 26%, Sport Boys 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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