Skalica 2-1 Zemplin Michalovce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.78
Over 2.5
39%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.76
No
58%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.93
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.69
6+ Goals
7%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 38% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.6pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skalica EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.24/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.52
-30% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
297 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 71%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
21.7 Crosses 15.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skalica
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.27 xG 1.27
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
260 Passes 331
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 2-0 HT 2-0 Skalica Skalica SLVK
03.05.2025 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 2-4 HT 1-2 Skalica Skalica SLVK
05.04.2025 Skalica Skalica 1-0 HT 0-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
27.10.2024 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 2-1 HT 2-0 Skalica Skalica SLVK
27.07.2024 Skalica Skalica 0-0 HT 0-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
20.04.2024 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 1-3 HT 1-1 Skalica Skalica SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Skalica
2-1
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce
0.37 xG 0.96
28% Ball Possession 72%
6 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
101 Passes 403
55% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Skalica vs Zemplin Michalovce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skalica nicked a narrow win over Zemplin Michalovce 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Skalica found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Skalica had 28% of the ball to Zemplin Michalovce's 72%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.37 to 0.96 — on chances, Zemplin Michalovce could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Skalica had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Skalica and 1.17 for Zemplin Michalovce.

What was the final score of Skalica vs Zemplin Michalovce?

Skalica 2-1 Zemplin Michalovce in the Slovakia Super League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skalica vs Zemplin Michalovce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skalica win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Skalica 40%, draw 29%, Zemplin Michalovce 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Skalica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Skalica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVK More Slovakia Super League
14 Feb 2026
17:30 Podbrezova vs Ruzomberok Analysis →
17:30 Slovan Bratislava vs Trencin Analysis →
20:00 Tatran Presov vs FK Kosice Analysis →