Celta Vigo II 1-1 Sestao River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.37
6+ Goals
10%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestao River EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
2.25/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.58
+41% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo II
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Sestao River
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 Sestao River Sestao River 2-0 HT 1-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
24.02.2024 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 4-0 HT 0-0 Sestao River Sestao River İS3
05.11.2023 Sestao River Sestao River 1-0 HT 1-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo II
1-1
AWAY Sestao River
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo II vs Sestao River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo II and Sestao River couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Celta Vigo II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Celta Vigo II had 45% of the ball to Sestao River's 55%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sestao River led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Celta Vigo II and 1.00 for Sestao River.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo II vs Sestao River?

Celta Vigo II 1-1 Sestao River in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo II vs Sestao River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo II 46%, draw 27%, Sestao River 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Celta Vigo II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celta Vigo II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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