Hercules 1-1 Real Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.1pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hercules EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.62/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.33
+28% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hercules
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Real Madrid II
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 1-0 HT 0-0 Hercules Hercules İS3
01.02.2014 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 4-0 HT 2-0 Hercules Hercules İS2
31.08.2013 Hercules Hercules 2-1 HT 1-1 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS2
11.03.2013 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 1-1 HT 0-1 Hercules Hercules İS2
08.10.2012 Hercules Hercules 2-4 HT 2-1 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS2
03.02.2007 Hercules Hercules 0-3 HT 0-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hercules
1-1
AWAY Real Madrid II
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hercules vs Real Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hercules and Real Madrid II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hercules at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Hercules had 33% of the ball to Real Madrid II's 67%, shots finished 6-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid II led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hercules and 2.33 for Real Madrid II.

What was the final score of Hercules vs Real Madrid II?

Hercules 1-1 Real Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hercules vs Real Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hercules win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hercules 41%, draw 25%, Real Madrid II 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hercules), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hercules) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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