Villarreal II 3-0 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.85
6+ Goals
9%
17.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
1.70/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.56
+14% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
362 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villarreal II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Merida AD
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.10.2024 Merida AD Merida AD 1-1 HT 1-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal II
3-0
AWAY Merida AD
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Villarreal II vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal II ran out comfortable winners over Merida AD 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Villarreal II as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Villarreal II had 52% of the ball to Merida AD's 48%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Villarreal II vs Merida AD?

Villarreal II 3-0 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal II vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Villarreal II 44%, draw 26%, Merida AD 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal II), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Villarreal II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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