Fylkir 2-1 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 14 Mar 2025

Fylkir
2-1
KR Reykjavik
📅14/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Iceland - League Cup – 2025

Fylkir vs KR Reykjavik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
56%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.5pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.3pp
56%
Away Win
60%
-3.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.0pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fylkir v KR Reykjavik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fylkir EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 64%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.26/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.45/1.78
-17% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% / -31%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Fylkir vs KR Reykjavik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fylkir
0W-2D-4L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.46 xG 1.96
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
226 Passes 395
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 34
19 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.10.2024 Fylkir Fylkir 0-1 HT 0-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
27.06.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-2 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
07.04.2024 Fylkir Fylkir 3-4 HT 1-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
27.08.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-0 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
01.06.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 3-3 HT 2-2 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
18.05.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 3-4 HT 1-3 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZK
POST-MATCH Fylkir vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fylkir squeezed past KR Reykjavik 2-1.

This one beat our numbers. KR Reykjavik carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fylkir and 2.67 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Fylkir vs KR Reykjavik?

Fylkir 2-1 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - League Cup on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fylkir vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Fylkir 24%, draw 20%, KR Reykjavik 56%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KR Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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