Fylkir 0-1 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 20 Oct 2024

Fylkir
0-1 HT 0-1
KR Reykjavik
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2024

Fylkir vs KR Reykjavik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
47%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.94
Over 2.5
62%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.32
No
40%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
9.95
2-3 Goals
34%
2.54
4-5 Goals
30%
2.32
6+ Goals
18%
3.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
20%
+7.3pp
47%
Away Win
56%
-9.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
22%
+15.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
78%
-15.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
72%
-11.4pp
40%
BTTS No
28%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fylkir v KR Reykjavik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fylkir EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 61%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.46/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.63
+26% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -15%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 84%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.8
21.2 Crosses 28.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

Fylkir vs KR Reykjavik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fylkir
0W-2D-4L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
1.73 xG 1.85
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
229 Passes 341
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.06.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-2 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
07.04.2024 Fylkir Fylkir 3-4 HT 1-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
27.08.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-0 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
01.06.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 3-3 HT 2-2 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
18.05.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 3-4 HT 1-3 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZK
26.07.2021 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 4-0 HT 2-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL

Fylkir 0-1 KR Reykjavik — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fylkir
0-1
AWAY KR Reykjavik
0.67 xG 2.31
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 23
0 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 7
216 Passes 558
71% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 54
22 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fylkir vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KR Reykjavik edged past Fylkir 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had KR Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fylkir had 34% of the ball to KR Reykjavik's 66%, shots finished 9-23, expected goals 0.67 to 2.31 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold KR Reykjavik's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fylkir and 3.17 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Fylkir vs KR Reykjavik?

Fylkir 0-1 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fylkir vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fylkir 26%, draw 28%, KR Reykjavik 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KR Reykjavik) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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