HK Kopavogur 2-1 Fram Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
42%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.89
Over 2.5
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.35
No
42%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.84
2-3 Goals
40%
2.17
4-5 Goals
29%
2.48
6+ Goals
13%
4.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
45%
-10.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
42%
Away Win
32%
+9.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+8.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-8.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
70%
-12.2pp
42%
BTTS No
30%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 36%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
2.48/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.45
-15% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
44.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
25.0 Crosses 22.8
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HK Kopavogur
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.47 xG 2.15
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
290 Passes 316
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-0 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
18.06.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-2 HT 1-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
18.09.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-1 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
28.06.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 3-2 HT 1-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
16.04.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-1 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
04.09.2015 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-0 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HK Kopavogur
2-1
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
1.23 xG 1.44
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
277 Passes 281
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Box Touches 29
29 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH HK Kopavogur vs Fram Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HK Kopavogur edged past Fram Reykjavik 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fram Reykjavik at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, HK Kopavogur had 51% of the ball to Fram Reykjavik's 49%, shots finished 17-20, expected goals 1.23 to 1.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HK Kopavogur had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for HK Kopavogur and 1.00 for Fram Reykjavik.

What was the final score of HK Kopavogur vs Fram Reykjavik?

HK Kopavogur 2-1 Fram Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HK Kopavogur vs Fram Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fram Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split HK Kopavogur 35%, draw 24%, Fram Reykjavik 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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