HB Koge 2-1 Roskilde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 14 Mar 2025

HB Koge
2-1 HT 0-1
Roskilde
📅14/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2024/2025

HB Koge vs Roskilde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
15.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.65
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
12%
5.44
X/2
10%
5.78
X/X
14%
4.44
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
19%
4.01
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HB Koge v Roskilde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HB Koge EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Roskilde EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.69/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.89
+21% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
348 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
18.2 Crosses 15.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0

HB Koge vs Roskilde Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HB Koge
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Roskilde
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.82 xG 1.21
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
198 Passes 365
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 37
8 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.09.2024 Roskilde Roskilde 0-2 HT 0-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
14.06.2020 Roskilde Roskilde 2-2 HT 0-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
20.10.2019 HB Koge HB Koge 2-1 HT 1-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1
21.08.2019 Roskilde Roskilde 2-3 HT 1-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
07.08.2015 Roskilde Roskilde 1-0 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
25.03.2015 Roskilde Roskilde 0-1 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1

HB Koge 2-1 Roskilde — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HB Koge
2-1
AWAY Roskilde
1.31 xG 0.36
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
352 Passes 410
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HB Koge vs Roskilde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HB Koge edged past Roskilde 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; HB Koge found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HB Koge had 46% of the ball to Roskilde's 54%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.31 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HB Koge had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for HB Koge and 1.00 for Roskilde.

What was the final score of HB Koge vs Roskilde?

HB Koge 2-1 Roskilde in the Denmark 1st Division on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HB Koge vs Roskilde?

Before kick-off our model rated a HB Koge win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split HB Koge 36%, draw 28%, Roskilde 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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