Kolding IF 1-0 Hobro IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.63
6+ Goals
8%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 31% vs market 27.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.0
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.7
X/1
12%
3.93
X/2
7%
11.05
X/X
14%
4.99
2/1
7%
24.7
2/2
11%
9.63
2/X
4%
17.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolding IF EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 20%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.73/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.67
-12% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
31.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
26.2 Crosses 16.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolding IF
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hobro IK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.55 xG 0.96
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
285 Passes 335
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Hobro IK Hobro IK 1-0 HT 1-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
17.05.2024 Kolding IF Kolding IF 2-1 HT 1-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
01.04.2024 Hobro IK Hobro IK 1-1 HT 0-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
02.03.2024 Kolding IF Kolding IF 3-1 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
01.10.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-3 HT 1-1 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
14.05.2021 Kolding IF Kolding IF 0-0 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolding IF
1-0
AWAY Hobro IK
2.68 xG 0.89
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
374 Passes 393
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kolding IF vs Hobro IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolding IF nicked a narrow win over Hobro IK 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kolding IF as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Kolding IF had 48% of the ball to Hobro IK's 52%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 2.68 to 0.89 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kolding IF's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kolding IF had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kolding IF and 1.00 for Hobro IK.

What was the final score of Kolding IF vs Hobro IK?

Kolding IF 1-0 Hobro IK in the Denmark 1st Division on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolding IF vs Hobro IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kolding IF win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kolding IF 49%, draw 26%, Hobro IK 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolding IF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kolding IF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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