Notts County vs Chesterfield Prediction — Model Probabilities
Notts County v Chesterfield — Team-Based Signals
Notts County vs Chesterfield Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Notts County 2-3 Chesterfield — Actual Match Statistics
Chesterfield edged past Notts County 3-2 on their travels. Level at 2-2 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
We leaned Notts County at 45% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 54%.
By the numbers, Chesterfield saw more of the ball, 63% to 37%, shots finished 5-19, expected goals 1.11 to 1.85.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chesterfield led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Notts County against 1.83 for Chesterfield.
Notts County vs Chesterfield Result & Final Score
Notts County 2 - 3 Chesterfield in the England - 2nd Division on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Notts County vs Chesterfield Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Notts County 45%, draw 27%, Chesterfield 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Notts County), Under 2.5 went the other way.