Notts County vs Chesterfield Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Notts County v Chesterfield — Team-Based Signals
Notts County vs Chesterfield Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Notts County
İBSL
1-2
HT 1-1
Notts County
İBSL
2-2
HT 0-1
Chesterfield
İBSL
1-1
HT 1-1
Chesterfield
İBSL
3-1
HT 0-1
Notts County
İBSL
Notts County 1-2 Chesterfield — Actual Match Statistics
Chesterfield nicked a narrow win over Notts County 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Chesterfield made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Notts County had 57% of the ball to Chesterfield's 43%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.56 to 1.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Notts County and 1.83 for Chesterfield.
What was the final score of Notts County vs Chesterfield?
Notts County 1-2 Chesterfield in the England - 2nd Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Notts County vs Chesterfield?
Before kick-off our model rated a Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Notts County 40%, draw 27%, Chesterfield 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.