Accrington Stanley 1-1 Gillingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 15 Mar 2025

Accrington Stanley
1-1 HT 1-0
Gillingham
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Accrington Stanley vs Gillingham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.0
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
15%
5.73
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.63
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.8
X/1
10%
4.8
X/2
12%
5.92
X/X
12%
3.47
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
17%
4.97
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.6pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.6pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Accrington Stanley v Gillingham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Gillingham EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.33/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.21
+10% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
265 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 64%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
21.9 Crosses 19.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Accrington Stanley vs Gillingham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Accrington Stanley
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gillingham
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.10 xG 1.30
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
228 Passes 189
65% Pass Accuracy 59%
18 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.10.2024 Gillingham Gillingham 1-2 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
13.01.2024 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-2 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
12.08.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 1-0 HT 1-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
26.03.2022 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-2 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN1
30.10.2021 Gillingham Gillingham 0-0 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
16.01.2021 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 0-1 HT 0-1 Gillingham Gillingham İN1

Accrington Stanley 1-1 Gillingham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Accrington Stanley
1-1
AWAY Gillingham
1.35 xG 0.81
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
97 Passes 208
49% Pass Accuracy 66%
14 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 25
7 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Accrington Stanley vs Gillingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Accrington Stanley and Gillingham shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Accrington Stanley had 38% of the ball to Gillingham's 62%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.35 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gillingham led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Accrington Stanley and 1.17 for Gillingham.

What was the final score of Accrington Stanley vs Gillingham?

Accrington Stanley 1-1 Gillingham in the England - 2nd Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Accrington Stanley vs Gillingham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Accrington Stanley win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Accrington Stanley 40%, draw 26%, Gillingham 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Accrington Stanley), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Accrington Stanley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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