Carlisle United 1-2 AFC Wimbledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 15 Mar 2025

Carlisle United
1-2 HT 0-1
AFC Wimbledon
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Carlisle United vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
5.13
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.87
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.8
X/1
12%
5.99
X/2
14%
4.85
X/X
17%
3.66
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.54
2/X
8%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.3pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Carlisle United v AFC Wimbledon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carlisle United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.14/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.01
-14% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +42%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
260 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 65%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
21.4 Crosses 22.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

Carlisle United vs AFC Wimbledon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carlisle United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.97 xG 0.79
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
313 Passes 222
68% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.10.2024 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 4-0 HT 3-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
11.02.2023 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 0-0 HT 0-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
17.09.2022 Carlisle United Carlisle United 2-1 HT 1-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
23.02.2016 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-0 HT 0-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
22.08.2015 Carlisle United Carlisle United 1-1 HT 0-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
17.01.2015 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-3 HT 1-1 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2

Carlisle United 1-2 AFC Wimbledon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carlisle United
1-2
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
0.93 xG 1.24
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
388 Passes 229
79% Pass Accuracy 66%
15 Box Touches 23
26 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Carlisle United vs AFC Wimbledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Wimbledon nicked a narrow win over Carlisle United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 31% / 39% — and on the day AFC Wimbledon made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Carlisle United had 60% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 40%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.93 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Carlisle United and 1.33 for AFC Wimbledon.

What was the final score of Carlisle United vs AFC Wimbledon?

Carlisle United 1-2 AFC Wimbledon in the England - 2nd Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carlisle United vs AFC Wimbledon?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Wimbledon win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Carlisle United 29%, draw 31%, AFC Wimbledon 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Wimbledon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Wimbledon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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