Crewe Alexandra 1-1 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
4.09
6+ Goals
10%
20.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.14
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
14%
6.56
X/2
14%
4.68
X/X
11%
4.21
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.08
2/X
7%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 48%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +29%
1.17/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.82
+17% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +66%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
259 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 71%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
16.4 Crosses 18.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crewe Alexandra
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.10 xG 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
244 Passes 308
67% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.10.2024 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
10.05.2024 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-2 HT 0-2 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
06.05.2024 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 0-2 HT 0-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
09.03.2024 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
25.11.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 3-2 HT 2-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
01.04.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-2 HT 0-2 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crewe Alexandra
1-1
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.71 xG 1.42
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 10
156 Passes 245
57% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 27
24 Crosses 35
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra and Doncaster Rovers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Doncaster Rovers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 43% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 57%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 1.71 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 1.17 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs Doncaster Rovers?

Crewe Alexandra 1-1 Doncaster Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 31%, draw 25%, Doncaster Rovers 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✓ BTTS Yes
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