Gillingham vs Accrington Stanley Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gillingham v Accrington Stanley — Team-Based Signals
Gillingham vs Accrington Stanley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Accrington Stanley
İN2
1-2
HT 0-0
Gillingham
İN1
0-0
HT 0-0
Accrington Stanley
İN1
0-1
HT 0-1
Gillingham
İN1
0-2
HT 0-1
Accrington Stanley
İN1
Gillingham 1-2 Accrington Stanley — Actual Match Statistics
Accrington Stanley nicked a narrow win over Gillingham 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Gillingham at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Gillingham had 59% of the ball to Accrington Stanley's 41%, shots finished 8-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gillingham had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gillingham and 0.67 for Accrington Stanley.
What was the final score of Gillingham vs Accrington Stanley?
Gillingham 1-2 Accrington Stanley in the England - 2nd Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gillingham vs Accrington Stanley?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 52%, draw 24%, Accrington Stanley 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.