Barrow 0-1 Morecambe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.11
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
16.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
2.1
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.0
X/1
8%
3.73
X/2
6%
10.2
X/X
11%
4.99
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
13%
8.4
2/X
8%
16.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-6.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barrow EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Morecambe EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.83/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.54
-25% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
276 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 64%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
23.7 Crosses 15.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barrow
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Morecambe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.90 xG 1.48
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
286 Passes 245
69% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 Morecambe Morecambe 2-1 HT 2-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
31.10.2023 Barrow Barrow 1-0 HT 1-0 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
10.10.2023 Morecambe Morecambe 3-1 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İNTK
20.02.2021 Barrow Barrow 1-2 HT 0-1 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
01.12.2020 Morecambe Morecambe 1-0 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
16.07.2019 Barrow Barrow 2-0 HT 0-0 Morecambe Morecambe HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barrow
0-1
AWAY Morecambe
0.43 xG 1.11
67% Ball Possession 33%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
354 Passes 120
77% Pass Accuracy 54%
12 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Barrow vs Morecambe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Morecambe squeezed past Barrow 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Barrow at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Barrow had 67% of the ball to Morecambe's 33%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.43 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Morecambe led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Barrow and 1.33 for Morecambe.

What was the final score of Barrow vs Morecambe?

Barrow 0-1 Morecambe in the England - 2nd Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barrow vs Morecambe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barrow win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Barrow 52%, draw 25%, Morecambe 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Barrow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barrow) ✓ BTTS No
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