Salford City 1-2 Grimsby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.78
Over 2.5
40%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.76
No
59%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.83
6+ Goals
8%
16.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 35% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.23
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
19%
4.9
X/2
13%
6.21
X/X
8%
4.37
2/1
5%
28.0
2/2
15%
4.51
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.4pp
59%
BTTS No
47%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.27/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.29
+1% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
285 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 66%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
21.3 Crosses 20.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Grimsby Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.20 xG 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
248 Passes 242
67% Pass Accuracy 67%
16 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.12.2023 Salford City Salford City 0-3 HT 0-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
15.08.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
29.12.2022 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-4 HT 1-4 Salford City Salford City İN2
01.10.2022 Salford City Salford City 1-1 HT 1-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
02.04.2021 Salford City Salford City 1-1 HT 0-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
19.09.2020 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-4 HT 0-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
1-2
AWAY Grimsby Town
53% Ball Possession 47%
26 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
194 Passes 170
61% Pass Accuracy 58%
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Grimsby Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grimsby Town nicked a narrow win over Salford City 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Salford City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Salford City had 53% of the ball to Grimsby Town's 47%, shots finished 26-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Salford City and 1.33 for Grimsby Town.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Grimsby Town?

Salford City 1-2 Grimsby Town in the England - 2nd Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Grimsby Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Salford City 41%, draw 25%, Grimsby Town 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Salford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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