Chesterfield vs Notts County Prediction — Model Probabilities
Chesterfield v Notts County — Team-Based Signals
Chesterfield vs Notts County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Chesterfield 2-0 Notts County — Actual Match Statistics
Chesterfield had too much for Notts County 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Chesterfield made the difference. The one blemish: both teams to score (56%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Chesterfield had 54% of the ball to Notts County's 46%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.17 to 0.23.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chesterfield and 1.67 for Notts County.
Chesterfield vs Notts County Result & Final Score
Chesterfield 2 - 0 Notts County in the England - 2nd Division on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Chesterfield vs Notts County Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chesterfield 36%, draw 28%, Notts County 36%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.