Oxford United vs Charlton Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Oxford United v Charlton Athletic — Team-Based Signals
Oxford United vs Charlton Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Charlton Athletic
İN1
3-1
HT 2-0
Charlton Athletic
İN1
1-1
HT 0-1
Oxford United
İN1
0-4
HT 0-2
Oxford United
İN1
Oxford United 1-1 Charlton Athletic — Actual Match Statistics
Oxford United and Charlton Athletic couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Oxford United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Oxford United had 38% of the ball to Charlton Athletic's 62%, shots finished 8-5, expected goals 1.43 to 0.97.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oxford United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Oxford United and 0.83 for Charlton Athletic.
What was the final score of Oxford United vs Charlton Athletic?
Oxford United 1-1 Charlton Athletic in the England - Championship on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Oxford United vs Charlton Athletic?
Before kick-off our model rated a Oxford United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Oxford United 42%, draw 26%, Charlton Athletic 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Oxford United) went the other way.