Millwall 1-2 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.6
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
16%
4.35
X/2
9%
7.84
X/X
13%
4.24
2/1
10%
27.0
2/2
13%
6.43
2/X
7%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millwall EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +14%
1.36/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.35
-9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
25.0 Crosses 15.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millwall
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.05 xG 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
221 Passes 359
65% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.12.2025 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-0 HT 2-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
18.04.2025 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 4-1 HT 2-1 Millwall Millwall İNCL
21.12.2024 Millwall Millwall 1-0 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
05.03.2024 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
24.10.2023 Millwall Millwall 1-2 HT 1-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
08.05.2023 Millwall Millwall 3-4 HT 3-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millwall
1-2
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.33 xG 2.32
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 7
246 Passes 320
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Millwall vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackburn Rovers squeezed past Millwall 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Millwall at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Millwall had 47% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 53%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 1.33 to 2.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackburn Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Millwall and 2.17 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Millwall vs Blackburn Rovers?

Millwall 1-2 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millwall vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millwall win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Millwall 48%, draw 26%, Blackburn Rovers 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Millwall) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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