Charlton Athletic 1-2 Oxford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 1 Jan 2024

📅01/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.85
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 25% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.5
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
9%
12.45
X/1
9%
5.58
X/2
13%
5.8
X/X
9%
4.89
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
15%
3.69
2/X
8%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford United EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -7%
1.42/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.99
+22% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
263 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 73%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
19.7 Crosses 19.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlton Athletic
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Oxford United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.99 xG 1.32
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
275 Passes 288
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Oxford United Oxford United 2-1 HT 1-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
29.12.2022 Oxford United Oxford United 3-1 HT 2-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
01.10.2022 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
19.02.2022 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 0-4 HT 0-2 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
14.08.2021 Oxford United Oxford United 2-1 HT 2-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
06.03.2021 Oxford United Oxford United 0-0 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlton Athletic
1-2
AWAY Oxford United
0.87 xG 0.89
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
352 Passes 546
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Charlton Athletic vs Oxford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford United edged past Charlton Athletic 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Oxford United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Charlton Athletic had 42% of the ball to Oxford United's 58%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.87 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oxford United led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Charlton Athletic and 2.00 for Oxford United.

What was the final score of Charlton Athletic vs Oxford United?

Charlton Athletic 1-2 Oxford United in the England - 1st Division on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlton Athletic vs Oxford United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Charlton Athletic 39%, draw 26%, Oxford United 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Charlton Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Charlton Athletic) ✓ BTTS Yes
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