Shrewsbury 3-1 Fleetwood Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 1 Jan 2024

📅01/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.79
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.05
6+ Goals
10%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.16
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
8%
5.72
X/2
13%
5.11
X/X
14%
4.13
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
18%
3.55
2/X
9%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +20%
1.10/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.92
+6% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +53%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
263 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 72%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
18.5 Crosses 18.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shrewsbury
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.74 xG 0.82
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
227 Passes 271
66% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
01.01.2023 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-3 HT 0-2 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
15.10.2022 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
05.02.2022 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-1 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
26.12.2021 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-3 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
06.03.2021 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-2 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shrewsbury
3-1
AWAY Fleetwood Town
2.12 xG 1.58
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
190 Passes 301
63% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shrewsbury vs Fleetwood Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shrewsbury beat Fleetwood Town 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Shrewsbury found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shrewsbury had 42% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 58%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 2.12 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shrewsbury had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shrewsbury and 1.00 for Fleetwood Town.

What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Fleetwood Town?

Shrewsbury 3-1 Fleetwood Town in the England - 1st Division on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shrewsbury vs Fleetwood Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fleetwood Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Shrewsbury 33%, draw 28%, Fleetwood Town 39%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fleetwood Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
1 Jan 2024
18:00 Portsmouth vs Stevenage Analysis →
18:00 Barnsley vs Wigan Athletic Analysis →
18:00 Derby County vs Peterborough United Analysis →
18:00 Wycombe Wanderers vs Bristol Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Charlton Athletic vs Oxford United Analysis →
18:00 Northampton Town vs Cheltenham Town Analysis →