Barnsley 1-1 Wigan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 1 Jan 2024

Barnsley
1-1 HT 1-0
Wigan Athletic
📅01/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Barnsley vs Wigan Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.05
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.7
X/1
18%
3.94
X/2
10%
10.25
X/X
11%
5.4
2/1
8%
22.15
2/2
9%
7.78
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
15.45
Value flag · 2/X at 15.45 — our 10% vs market 3.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barnsley v Wigan Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnsley EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 22%
+10% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.56/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.67
+22% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 71%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
20.4 Crosses 14.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.4

Barnsley vs Wigan Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnsley
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.60 xG 0.70
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
280 Passes 282
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-2 HT 0-1 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
11.07.2020 Barnsley Barnsley 0-0 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İNCL
31.08.2019 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Barnsley Barnsley İNCL
13.04.2017 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 3-2 HT 0-1 Barnsley Barnsley İNCL
19.11.2016 Barnsley Barnsley 0-0 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İNCL
08.05.2016 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-4 HT 1-2 Barnsley Barnsley İN1

Barnsley 1-1 Wigan Athletic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnsley
1-1
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.44 xG 1.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 7
387 Passes 386
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barnsley vs Wigan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnsley and Wigan Athletic couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Barnsley at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Barnsley had 51% of the ball to Wigan Athletic's 49%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.44 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnsley had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Barnsley and 0.67 for Wigan Athletic.

What was the final score of Barnsley vs Wigan Athletic?

Barnsley 1-1 Wigan Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnsley vs Wigan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnsley win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Barnsley 48%, draw 27%, Wigan Athletic 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barnsley) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barnsley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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