Northampton Town vs Cheltenham Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Northampton Town v Cheltenham Town — Team-Based Signals
Northampton Town vs Cheltenham Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Northampton Town
İN1
0-3
HT 0-1
Northampton Town
İN2
0-2
HT 0-1
Cheltenham Town
İN2
2-1
HT 1-1
Northampton Town
İN2
1-1
HT 1-1
Cheltenham Town
İN2
3-1
HT 2-0
Northampton Town
İN2
Northampton Town 1-0 Cheltenham Town — Actual Match Statistics
Northampton Town squeezed past Cheltenham Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Northampton Town as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Northampton Town had 53% of the ball to Cheltenham Town's 47%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.71 to 0.74.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cheltenham Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Northampton Town and 1.33 for Cheltenham Town.
What was the final score of Northampton Town vs Cheltenham Town?
Northampton Town 1-0 Cheltenham Town in the England - 1st Division on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Northampton Town vs Cheltenham Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Northampton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 44%, draw 27%, Cheltenham Town 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Northampton Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.