Portsmouth vs Stevenage Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Portsmouth v Stevenage — Team-Based Signals
Portsmouth vs Stevenage Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Portsmouth
İN1
3-0
HT 1-0
Stevenage
İNTK
3-3
HT 3-2
Portsmouth
İNLK
0-1
HT 0-0
Portsmouth
HAZ
3-2
HT 1-1
Portsmouth
HAZ
3-0
HT 2-0
Portsmouth
İN2
Portsmouth 2-1 Stevenage — Actual Match Statistics
Portsmouth edged past Stevenage 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Portsmouth as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Portsmouth had 56% of the ball to Stevenage's 44%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.79 to 0.98.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Portsmouth and 1.50 for Stevenage.
What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Stevenage?
Portsmouth 2-1 Stevenage in the England - 1st Division on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Portsmouth vs Stevenage?
Before kick-off our model rated a Portsmouth win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Portsmouth 43%, draw 28%, Stevenage 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portsmouth) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.