Empoli 2-2 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 14 Mar 2026

Empoli
2 - 2 HT 0 - 2
Mantova
📅14/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.78
Over
48%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.94
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
21%
3.69
6+
5%
15.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.81
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
17%
4.71
X/2
10%
7.23
X/X
17%
4.38
2/1
3%
26.0
2/2
13%
5.48
2/X
5%
13.7
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Empoli The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova The Market 30%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.94 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.96
1.14 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.26
Great Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Strong
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Mantova
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
0.67 xG 1.25
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
280 Passes 419
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 32
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.12.2025 Mantova Mantova 0-1 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTB
23.03.2010 Empoli Empoli 4-0 HT 2-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
17.10.2009 Mantova Mantova 1-1 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTB
16.05.2009 Mantova Mantova 1-1 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTB
20.12.2008 Empoli Empoli 1-1 HT 0-1 Mantova Mantova İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli
2 - 2
AWAY Mantova
2.33 xG 1.24
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
370 Passes 246
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
37 Box Touches 20
35 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Empoli vs Mantova
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Empoli and Mantova finished all square at 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

We leaned Empoli at 47% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.

By the numbers, Empoli had 59% of the ball to Mantova's 41%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 2.33 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Empoli had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Empoli and 0.60 for Mantova.

Empoli vs Mantova Result & Final Score

Empoli 2 - 2 Mantova in the Italy - Serie B on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Empoli vs Mantova Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Empoli win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Empoli 47%, draw 28%, Mantova 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Empoli), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Empoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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