Padova Calcio 1-3 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.9
Over
51%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.67
No
44%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.27
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
23%
3.36
6+
6%
12.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.01
1/2
4%
25.0
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
10%
7.11
X/2
16%
5.09
X/X
17%
4.44
2/1
2%
33.5
2/2
25%
2.96
2/X
6%
11.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.0 — our 4% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Padova Calcio The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro The Market 48%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.17 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.78
1.28 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.05
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Bad
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
302 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 83%
16 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Padova Calcio
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Catanzaro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
1.11 xG 1.82
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
247 Passes 355
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 33
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 Catanzaro Catanzaro 0-1 HT 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTB
29.05.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-1 HT 0-1 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTC
25.05.2022 Catanzaro Catanzaro 0-0 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
19.01.2022 Catanzaro Catanzaro 0-1 HT 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTCK
15.12.2021 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-1 HT 1-1 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Padova Calcio
1 - 3
AWAY Catanzaro
1.00 xG 1.02
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
353 Passes 290
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Padova Calcio vs Catanzaro
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Catanzaro had too much for Padova Calcio 3-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Catanzaro as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

The match data tells the story: possession split 53% to 47% in Padova Calcio's favour, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.00 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Padova Calcio against 0.40 for Catanzaro.

Padova Calcio vs Catanzaro Result & Final Score

Padova Calcio 1 - 3 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Padova Calcio vs Catanzaro Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Catanzaro win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 26%, draw 29%, Catanzaro 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catanzaro), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Catanzaro) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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