Cesena 2-2 Frosinone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 14 Mar 2026

Cesena
2 - 2 HT 0 - 1
Frosinone
📅14/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Cesena vs Frosinone Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.21
Over
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
20%
4.24
2-3
45%
1.85
4-5
27%
2.84
6+
8%
8.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.69
1/2 ✗
3%
24.35
1/X
6%
12.1
X/1
11%
6.1
X/2
13%
5.87
X/X
16%
5.2
2/1
3%
25.0
2/2
22%
3.46
2/X
6%
12.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.35 — our 3% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Cesena v Frosinone — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Cesena The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Frosinone The Market 40%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.48 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.55
1.35 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.24
Average Attack Strength Great
Weak Defense Strength Average
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 82%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3

Cesena vs Frosinone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesena
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Frosinone
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.44 xG 1.52
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
387 Passes 289
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.09.2025 Frosinone Frosinone 3-1 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
13.04.2025 Cesena Cesena 1-1 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
01.12.2024 Frosinone Frosinone 3-2 HT 2-1 Cesena Cesena İTB
28.04.2018 Cesena Cesena 1-0 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
02.12.2017 Frosinone Frosinone 3-3 HT 2-2 Cesena Cesena İTB
31.03.2017 Cesena Cesena 1-1 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB

Cesena 2-2 Frosinone — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena
2 - 2
AWAY Frosinone
2.55 xG 1.77
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 24
6 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
281 Passes 300
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 35
8 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Cesena vs Frosinone
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cesena and Frosinone finished all square at 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) came home.

Under the surface, Frosinone saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 15-24, expected goals 2.55 to 1.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Frosinone led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Cesena against 1.83 for Frosinone.

Cesena vs Frosinone Result & Final Score

Cesena 2 - 2 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie B on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cesena vs Frosinone Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Frosinone win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cesena 34%, draw 28%, Frosinone 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Frosinone) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Frosinone) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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