Napoli (K) 0-1 Lazio (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
15%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
36%
-7.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.7pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.16/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.08
-63% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
13.8 Crosses 14.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli (K)
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Lazio (K)
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.90 xG 1.54
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
254 Passes 298
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2025 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
23.08.2025 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTSKK
18.04.2025 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) 2-1 HT 2-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
08.03.2025 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) İTKSA
18.01.2025 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 0-4 HT 0-3 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) İTKSA
13.10.2024 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) 0-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli (K)
0-1
AWAY Lazio (K)
1.01 xG 1.26
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
231 Passes 225
71% Pass Accuracy 69%
15 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Napoli (K) vs Lazio (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio (K) squeezed past Napoli (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Lazio (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Napoli (K) had 50% of the ball to Lazio (K)'s 50%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.01 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lazio (K) led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Napoli (K) and 2.17 for Lazio (K).

What was the final score of Napoli (K) vs Lazio (K)?

Napoli (K) 0-1 Lazio (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli (K) vs Lazio (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lazio (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Napoli (K) 29%, draw 31%, Lazio (K) 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lazio (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
14 Mar 2026
14:30 Parma (K) vs Genoa (K) Analysis →