Chemnitzer FC 0-4 Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 14 Mar 2026

Chemnitzer FC
0-4 HT 0-4
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
📅14/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2025/2026

Chemnitzer FC vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+3.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.8pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chemnitzer FC v Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +3%
1.57/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.59
-1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Chemnitzer FC vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemnitzer FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.09.2025 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-2 HT 1-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
20.04.2025 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
27.10.2024 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-0 HT 0-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
08.12.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 7-2 HT 2-2 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
25.02.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-0 HT 1-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
10.09.2022 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Chemnitzer FC vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Erfurt cruised past Chemnitzer FC 4-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Rot-Weiss Erfurt found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Erfurt led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chemnitzer FC and 2.17 for Rot-Weiss Erfurt.

What was the final score of Chemnitzer FC vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Chemnitzer FC 0-4 Rot-Weiss Erfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemnitzer FC vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chemnitzer FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chemnitzer FC 39%, draw 24%, Rot-Weiss Erfurt 37%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Chemnitzer FC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chemnitzer FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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