Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-2 Chemnitzer FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Sep 2025

Rot-Weiss Erfurt
2-2 HT 1-0
Chemnitzer FC
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2025/2026

Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Chemnitzer FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Erfurt v Chemnitzer FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
2.51/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.99
+40% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +72%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0

Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Chemnitzer FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Chemnitzer FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
20.04.2025 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
27.10.2024 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-0 HT 0-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
08.12.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 7-2 HT 2-2 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
25.02.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-0 HT 1-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
10.09.2022 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
08.04.2018 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-5 HT 0-3 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC AL3
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Chemnitzer FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Erfurt and Chemnitzer FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Rot-Weiss Erfurt at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Erfurt had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Rot-Weiss Erfurt and 1.50 for Chemnitzer FC.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Chemnitzer FC?

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-2 Chemnitzer FC in the Germany - Regional League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Chemnitzer FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Erfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Erfurt 45%, draw 26%, Chemnitzer FC 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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