Luckenwalde 1-1 Greifswalder SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.5pp
34%
Draw
26%
+7.6pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.4pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 39%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +21%
1.23/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.03
-22% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +42%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luckenwalde
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Greifswalder SV
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
21.09.2025 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 0-2 HT 0-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
16.03.2025 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 1-0 HT 1-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
21.09.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-1 HT 0-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
03.03.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 2-2 HT 2-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
14.01.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-2 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV HAZ
15.09.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-5 HT 0-3 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Luckenwalde vs Greifswalder SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luckenwalde and Greifswalder SV shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 34% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greifswalder SV led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Luckenwalde and 1.83 for Greifswalder SV.

What was the final score of Luckenwalde vs Greifswalder SV?

Luckenwalde 1-1 Greifswalder SV in the Germany - Regional League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luckenwalde vs Greifswalder SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luckenwalde win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Luckenwalde 35%, draw 34%, Greifswalder SV 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Luckenwalde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luckenwalde) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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