Greifswalder SV 0-2 Luckenwalde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
2.15/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.65
+19% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
352 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greifswalder SV
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Luckenwalde
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
16.03.2025 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 1-0 HT 1-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
21.09.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-1 HT 0-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
03.03.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 2-2 HT 2-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
14.01.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-2 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV HAZ
15.09.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-5 HT 0-3 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
14.05.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 6-2 HT 1-2 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greifswalder SV vs Luckenwalde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luckenwalde beat Greifswalder SV 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Greifswalder SV at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greifswalder SV had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Greifswalder SV and 2.00 for Luckenwalde.

What was the final score of Greifswalder SV vs Luckenwalde?

Greifswalder SV 0-2 Luckenwalde in the Germany - Regional League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greifswalder SV vs Luckenwalde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Greifswalder SV 44%, draw 25%, Luckenwalde 31%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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