Rödinghausen 1-0 Bonner SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rödinghausen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bonner SC EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +29%
1.49/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.15
-6% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +36%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rödinghausen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bonner SC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Bonner SC Bonner SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
23.04.2022 Bonner SC Bonner SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
13.11.2021 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 1-0 HT 1-0 Bonner SC Bonner SC ALMBÖL
17.04.2021 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 0-0 HT 0-0 Bonner SC Bonner SC ALMBÖL
14.11.2020 Bonner SC Bonner SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
09.11.2019 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 2-1 HT 2-0 Bonner SC Bonner SC ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Rödinghausen vs Bonner SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rödinghausen squeezed past Bonner SC 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Rödinghausen found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rödinghausen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rödinghausen and 0.50 for Bonner SC.

What was the final score of Rödinghausen vs Bonner SC?

Rödinghausen 1-0 Bonner SC in the Germany - Regional League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rödinghausen vs Bonner SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rödinghausen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rödinghausen 40%, draw 27%, Bonner SC 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rödinghausen), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rödinghausen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
14 Mar 2026
16:00 Drochtersen / Assel vs Weiche Flensburg Analysis →
16:00 Chemnitzer FC vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Analysis →
16:00 Eilenburg vs Magdeburg II Analysis →
16:00 BFC Preussen vs Hallescher FC Analysis →
16:00 Luckenwalde vs Greifswalder SV Analysis →
16:00 Astoria Walldorf vs Lehnerz Analysis →