Wellington Phoenix (K) 3-0 Brisbane Roar (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 14 Mar 2026

Wellington Phoenix (K)
3-0 HT 2-0
Brisbane Roar (K)
📅14/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.68
No
40%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-5.2pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.8pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.4pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wellington Phoenix (K) v Brisbane Roar (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.86/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.05
-13% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
24.6 Crosses 14.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.9

Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K)
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.36 xG 1.05
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
293 Passes 277
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.01.2026 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 2-2 HT 2-1 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) AVUSTW
02.02.2025 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) AVUSTW
08.12.2024 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
07.01.2024 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) AVUSTW

Wellington Phoenix (K) 3-0 Brisbane Roar (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K)
3-0
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
2.14 xG 0.34
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
331 Passes 245
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 6
21 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wellington Phoenix (K) swept aside Brisbane Roar (K) 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wellington Phoenix (K) as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Wellington Phoenix (K) had 56% of the ball to Brisbane Roar (K)'s 44%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 2.14 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Wellington Phoenix (K) and 1.50 for Brisbane Roar (K).

What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

Wellington Phoenix (K) 3-0 Brisbane Roar (K) in the Australia - W-League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix (K) 58%, draw 27%, Brisbane Roar (K) 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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