RFC Seraing 2-2 KRC Genk II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.5pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.44/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.31
-13% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
17.4 Crosses 15.4
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Seraing
0W-3D-2L
AWAY KRC Genk II
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.09 xG 1.85
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
283 Passes 365
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.08.2025 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 0-0 HT 0-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
19.01.2025 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 2-2 HT 1-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
16.08.2024 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 0-2 HT 0-1 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
04.02.2024 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 1-3 HT 0-3 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
26.11.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 1-1 HT 1-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Seraing
2-2
AWAY KRC Genk II
2.63 xG 0.93
46% Ball Possession 54%
20 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
299 Passes 383
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
35 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RFC Seraing vs KRC Genk II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RFC Seraing and KRC Genk II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, RFC Seraing had 46% of the ball to KRC Genk II's 54%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 2.63 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, KRC Genk II led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for RFC Seraing and 1.60 for KRC Genk II.

What was the final score of RFC Seraing vs KRC Genk II?

RFC Seraing 2-2 KRC Genk II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Seraing vs KRC Genk II?

Before kick-off our model rated an KRC Genk II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split RFC Seraing 35%, draw 28%, KRC Genk II 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KRC Genk II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KRC Genk II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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