Naesby 5-4 Odder — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 14 Mar 2026

Naesby
5-4 HT 1-1
Odder
📅14/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
52%
+0.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.8pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naesby EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Odder EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +7%
2.31/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.67
+29% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naesby
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Odder
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.08.2025 Odder Odder 2-3 HT 1-2 Naesby Naesby DAN3
31.05.2025 Naesby Naesby 6-1 HT 4-1 Odder Odder DAN3
10.05.2025 Odder Odder 2-2 HT 1-1 Naesby Naesby DAN3
08.03.2025 Naesby Naesby 2-2 Odder Odder DAN3
31.08.2024 Odder Odder 1-4 HT 0-2 Naesby Naesby DAN3
23.05.2015 Odder Odder 3-3 HT 1-1 Naesby Naesby DAN2
POST-MATCH Naesby vs Odder
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naesby edged past Odder 5-4. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Naesby as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Naesby had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Naesby and 1.83 for Odder.

What was the final score of Naesby vs Odder?

Naesby 5-4 Odder in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naesby vs Odder?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Naesby 53%, draw 23%, Odder 24%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naesby), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Naesby) ✓ BTTS Yes
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