Sundby 2-1 Horsholm-Usserod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
+0.2pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sundby EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Horsholm-Usserod EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.41/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-6% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
352 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sundby
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Horsholm-Usserod
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
11.10.2025 Horsholm-Usserod 4-3 HT 0-0 Sundby DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sundby
2-1
AWAY Horsholm-Usserod
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sundby vs Horsholm-Usserod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sundby edged past Horsholm-Usserod 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Sundby found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sundby had 51% of the ball to Horsholm-Usserod's 49%, shots finished 10-13.

What was the final score of Sundby vs Horsholm-Usserod?

Sundby 2-1 Horsholm-Usserod in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sundby vs Horsholm-Usserod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sundby win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sundby 38%, draw 24%, Horsholm-Usserod 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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