Lyseng 1-1 Holbaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
46%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.0
Over 2.5
42%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
21%
+8.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
46%
Away Win
56%
-10.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
46%
+11.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
54%
-11.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyseng EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Holbaek EU Bookmakers 61%
+16% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -70% / -70%
1.11/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/2.38
-6% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -59%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
268 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyseng
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Holbaek
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.08.2025 Holbaek Holbaek 6-0 HT 0-0 Lyseng Lyseng DAN3
19.10.2024 Lyseng Lyseng 2-1 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
28.09.2024 Holbaek Holbaek 3-0 Lyseng Lyseng DAN3
28.03.2024 Holbaek Holbaek 1-0 HT 1-0 Lyseng Lyseng DAN3
08.10.2023 Lyseng Lyseng 0-0 HT 0-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyseng
1-1
AWAY Holbaek
30% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lyseng vs Holbaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyseng and Holbaek shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Holbaek at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lyseng had 30% of the ball to Holbaek's 70%, shots finished 4-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Holbaek led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Lyseng and 2.20 for Holbaek.

What was the final score of Lyseng vs Holbaek?

Lyseng 1-1 Holbaek in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyseng vs Holbaek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holbaek win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lyseng 30%, draw 25%, Holbaek 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holbaek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holbaek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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